By what year will a car have driven between New York and San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat?
TecnologíaIA3a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
2029 80.3%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado9 sept 24, 14:37 UTC13 dic 29, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the population of San Francisco reach 950,000 before 2030?
Manifold Markets130 Townsend, San Francisco 94107 redevelopment completed
Manifold MarketsWill the median home value in san francisco county be more than 2,000,000 USD in Q3 2029?
Manifold MarketsSan Francisco vs Los Angeles R
KalshiSt. Louis vs San Francisco
KalshiSan Francisco vs Los Angeles: Spread
KalshiReglas
Inspired by https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/which-car-company-will-drive-betwee
- Either direction.
- One journey.
- Can have stops but no human in the drivers seat or taking control via internet.
- Edit: to clarify, if it's necessary for there to be a human in position to immediately take control and drive the car, that won't count as a YES resolution regardless of where they are physically sitting.
- The year when this first occurs and all years after it (that have been added as answers on this market) will resolve YES.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 944,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 721,8 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volumen total
- 620 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 536 mil €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volumen total
- 514,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 496,9 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de By what year will a car have driven between New York and San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2029 al 80% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve By what year will a car have driven between New York and San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat??
- Está previsto que By what year will a car have driven between New York and San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat? se resuelva el 13 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida By what year will a car have driven between New York and San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Inspired by https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/which-car-company-will-drive-betwee