Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 4:57 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Before Q2 2027 14.6%Líder entre 11 opciones
Before Q2 2027 14.6%Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado23 nov 24, 15:11 UTC2 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Canada's population declines in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US population exceed 500 million by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK population exceed 70 million before 2035?
Manifold MarketsIn which census will the California population first exceed 40 million?
Manifold MarketsWill global carbon dioxide emissions exceed 38,000 million metric tons in 2026?
ForecastExWill global carbon dioxide emissions exceed 37,500 million metric tons in 2026?
ForecastExReglas
This will resolve based on Statistics Canada's quarterly population estimates.
- Estimates indicate the estimated population on the first day of the quarter, so if the estimate for Q4 2025 is greater than 42 million, then the entry for "the named outcome" will be presumed to be resolve YES (and each later entry likewise).
