Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 71.8%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado1 ene 26, 3:31 UTC31 dic 26, 15:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsVisitors to Florida in 2026
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- Statistics Canada officially projects 0.3% population growth in 2025, to be followed by negative 0.2% in 2026.
- The market resolves YES if Canada's total population on December 31, 2026 is lower than on January 1, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official Statistics Canada population estimates, available at Statistics Canada's population estimates page.
- Jan 1 2026: 41,548,511
- The government's 2025–2027 immigration plan proposes a substantial reduction of admissions of new permanent residents and a decrease in the number of non-permanent residents living in the country, with the goal of pausing population growth in the short term.
Mercados abiertos
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million97%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 130,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 51 mil €
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Volumen total
- 2,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 17,9 mil €
KALSHIHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- At least ¥73,000-35.0pt30%
- At least ¥74,000-40.0pt27%
- At least ¥80,00024%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 16,9 mil €
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate+5.0pt92.4%
- Hike 25bps-6.0pt1.9%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 44 mil €
KALSHIWill the S&P finish positive this year?
- Yes-1.0pt89%
- No11%
- Volumen total
- 893,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 8,6 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Canada's population declines in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 72% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Canada's population declines in 2026??
- Está previsto que Canada's population declines in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Canada's population declines in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria