¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de BCI + AI Hivemind before 2050??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 53.1% a fecha de 11 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve BCI + AI Hivemind before 2050??

Está previsto que BCI + AI Hivemind before 2050? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2049.

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 53.1%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 19 minutos

2 jul 26, 19:29 UTC31 dic 49, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Will there exist a population of individuals with BCI and Ai capabilities that act as a hivemind before 2050?

Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if, by December 31, 2049, at 11:59 PM UTC, there is credible, public verification of a group of 4 or more humans who use brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) and artificial intelligence (AI) to function as a "hivemind" or collective intelligence network.
To resolve YES, the following conditions must be met:
BCI & AI Integration: Group members must utilize functional, active brain-computer interfaces (invasive or non-invasive) that are integrated with AI systems.
Direct Cognitive Synchrony: The system must allow direct brain-to-brain or brain-to-AI-to-brain communication, facilitating the pooling of thoughts, sensory data, motor outputs, or decisions without relying on traditional manual or verbal communication (e.g., speaking, typing, or standard screens).