At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena?
One-OffIATecnología3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 95.3%
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9
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado1 jul 26, 12:28 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if there is a model released by a European company, listed on https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent, that ranks higher than at least one model that it currently listed on the leaderboard.
- The list of models on agent arena is currently:
- Claude Fable 5 (High)
- Claude Opus 4.8 (Thinking)
- GPT 5.5 (xHigh)
- Claude Opus 4.7
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 95% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena??
- Está previsto que At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if there is a model released by a European company, listed on https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent, that ranks higher than at least one model that it currently listed on the leaderboard.