Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 31 oct 2026, 17:25 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 51%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado3 nov 25, 18:20 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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Reglas
Update 2025-11-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Freehand animation refers to freehand movement achieved when each frame is hand drawn with no interpolation/tweening tools used.
- Key characteristic: Smear frames - quick movements that produce distortions that are nonsensical when looked at individually, but make sense in quick sequence.
- Update 2025-11-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution method: 8 prompts will be given to the video generative model (examples include prompts about dancers, artists sketching, boxers, skateboarders, hand movements).
- Movements will be sampled from actual artists of varying skill levels (beginner to professional) for comparison.
- A blind competition between real vs generative works will be conducted to determine resolution.
