Adam Hamiltons winning margin in Johnson County in the 2026 Kansas Senate election?
0.4 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 202613d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualHamilton wins the county by 15 to 19.99% 20.4%+0.4ptLíder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
1
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+0.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado21 oct 26, 22:52 UTC4 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Kansas, is running against Republican incumbent Roger Marshall.
- This market resolves based on Hamilton's margin of victory in Johnson County in the November 3, 2026 election.
- The margin is calculated as Adam Hamiltons vote percent in Johnson County, minus the second place candidates (likely Roger Marshall) vote share.
- If the named outcome, resolves Hamilton loses the county.
- For his margin, Associated Press results for Johnson county will be used, however if the AP result is very close to 2 buckets, resolution can wait for certified final results.
- Any results will be rounded to 2 decimal places to resolve this market.
