¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de A child of Elon Musk will hold high political office through 2050?

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 71.7% a fecha de 27 de octubre de 2026.

A child of Elon Musk will hold high political office through 2050

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 71.7%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 20 horas

Desactualizado

11 sept 23, 15:04 UTC2 ene 51, 6:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

High will be evaluated for any country based on this is scale, regardless of country size or new/oldness.

For other countries or future political systems, we will attempt to map their system into this, comparing based on size of polity (as a percentage of the nation), power, esteem, etc
State governor
Major city mayor
Supreme court justice
Above here is high, below here doesn't qualify