Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualGambling losses deduction remains limited to 90% as laid out in OBBB 66%Líder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado14 jul 25, 14:29 UTC15 abr 27, 22:59 UTC
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Inspired by this Money Stuff column: One sentence of the 940-page [‘One Big Beautiful Bill Act’ passed last week] says gamblers can deduct only 90 percent of their annual losses, instead of 100 percent, which has been the norm.
- This has created a funny situation where sports predicting on markets like Kalshi is taxed as capital gains but sports betting on a traditional book like draftkings gets unfavorable treatment around deducting losses.
- All questions resolve on tax day 2027 unless otherwise stated.
- I'm open to moving the resolution date if something legal development is likely to get decided soon after.
- I'm interested in the short term impacts not the long term, so anything pending would have to apply to the 2026 tax year.
- If legal action takes place before resolution, I'll leave these open for some time to account for appeals.
Mercados abiertos
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- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 248,7 mil €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-5.0pt49%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.1%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 96,6 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Gambling losses deduction remains limited to 90% as laid out in OBBB al 66% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets?
- Está previsto que 2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets se resuelva el 15 de abril de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Inspired by this Money Stuff column: One sentence of the 940-page [‘One Big Beautiful Bill Act’ passed last week] says gamblers can deduct only 90 percent of their annual losses, instead of 100 percent, which has been the norm.