Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualFlavio Bolsonaro 89%+3.3ptLíder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
76
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+32.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 minutos
23 feb 26, 2:52 UTC25 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Federal District
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá
PolymarketBrazil presidential runoff: voter turnout
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate?
KalshiReglas
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- If date changes, resolves based on next presidential election.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
- This market includes any potential second round.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — Brazil Presidential election winner? · Flávio Bolsonaro 86%
