LimitlessComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaAviso de calidad de datosSin precio significativo
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 0:41 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidad implícita actual
Daniel Penny 49.9%Líder entre 5 opciones
Daniel Penny 49.9%Calidad del mercado
22 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
20 ago 26, 18:22 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · Himself · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — Who will Trump pardon in 2026? · Larry Householder 22%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Who will Trump pardon before 2027? · Stefan Brodie 20%