PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Daniel Penny 34%+3.0ptLíder entre 28 opciones
Calidad del mercado
66 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
4,6 mil €
Liquidez
104,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
1.2% / 4.9%
Spread
3.7 pt
Spread moderadoCambio 7d
-5.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 minutos
18 nov 25, 15:5031 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Daniel Penny34%
Comparar plataformas· Keonne Rodriguez
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 14% | 0pt | 4,6 mil € | 104,4 mil € | hace 20 minutos | |
 Kalshi70% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 18% | +4pt | 681,8 € | 192,4 mil € | hace 20 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
2.1 pts5m
92%
23%
19%
+31 resultados más
66 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total378,5 mil €
Volumen 24h681,8 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$2.3k93.6%KALSHIDerek Chauvin — Nohace 17 d
KALSHIDerek Chauvin — Nohace 17 dTendencia de volumen
$5.2k2 jul27d de datos28 jul
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.