LimitlessComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaAviso de calidad de datosSin precio significativo
Datos del 9 sept 2026, 10:20 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Nicolás Maduro 86.6%Líder entre 4 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
28 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
25 ago 26, 16:51 UTC31 dic 26, 18:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Venezuela presidential election scheduled by which date?
PolymarketMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
PolymarketFree & Fair Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump visit Venezuela in 2026?
Manifold MarketsVenezuela crude oil production in September
KalshiWill Venezuela become 51st state?
PolymarketReglas
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
Additional context — Updated August 25, 2026
Per the rules, “officially holds” refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
- As of this clarification, The UN-recognized government of Venezuela has not formally removed or replaced the named outcome as President, and official government sources and statements continue to identify him as the President of Venezuela.
- Temporary legal measures assigning the exercise of presidential powers do not, on their own, constitute a transfer of the presidency.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status.
- If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “the named outcome”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela.
- If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Polymarket — Venezuela leader end of 2026? · Nicolás Maduro 86%
- También disponible en Kalshi — Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Nicolás Maduro 86%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — President of Venezuela at the end of 2026 · Delcy Rodríguez 83%
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Volumen total
- 847,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 668,8 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Venezuela leader end of 2026??
- Limitless cotiza Nicolás Maduro al 87% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Venezuela leader end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Venezuela leader end of 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Venezuela leader end of 2026??
- Limitless liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome. <p><strong><em>Additional context — Updated August 25, 2026</em></strong></p><p><em>Per the rules, “officially holds” refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Venezuela leader end of 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold Markets.