LimitlessComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual
Below 4.50% 36.8%Líder entre 9 opciones
Below 4.50% 36.8%Calidad del mercado
22 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
7 sept 26, 11:09 UTC31 dic 26, 0:00 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Polymarket10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026?
KalshiHow low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
Kalshi2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiReglas
Below 4.35% · Below 4.40% · Below 4.00% · Below 4.25% · Below 4.45% · Below 4.20% · Below 4.10% · Below 4.30% · Below 4.50%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026.
- If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).