LimitlessComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual
Below 4.50% 83.5%Líder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado
22 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
7 sept 26, 11:09 UTC31 dic 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Below 4.35% · Below 4.40% · Below 4.00% · Below 4.25% · Below 4.45% · Below 4.20% · Below 4.10% · Below 4.30% · Below 4.50%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026.
- If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Below 4.50% es del 84%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 1 punto porcentual entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm Below 4.50% 84% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersion entre venues
