30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?

Bonds & TreasuriesOne-Off5d

KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximada

Probabilidad implícita actual

5.05% or above 93%

Líder entre 15 opciones

Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad

Volumen 24h

123,9 €

Liquidez

141,8 €

Baja liquidez

Compra / Venta

89.0% / 93.0%

Spread

4.5%

Spread moderado

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 12 minutos

24 jul 26, 19:3031 jul 26, 19:30

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

5.01% or above

5.03% or above

5.07% or above

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

5.05% or above93%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S.

Treasury is above 5.00% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.
Treasury is above 5.02% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Treasury is above 5.04% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Treasury is above 5.06% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Tendencia de volumen

$141

24 jul3d de datos26 jul

Activos Sensibles al Macro

BitcoinBTC$64,507.44+0.69%

EthereumETH$1,886.50+1.50%

SolanaSOL$74.94+1.38%

Mercados Relacionados

5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?

3,1 mil €

4.51% or above: 27%

KALSHI

2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?

2,9 mil €

4.45% or above: 16%

KALSHI

10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?

2,6 mil €

4.9% or above: 2%

KALSHI

When will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?

263,7 €

2023: 1.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

80 €

4.0%: 100%

POLYMARKET

10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 12/31/2026?

44 €

Sí: 50.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

XRPXRP$1.10+0.97%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.51%

BNBBNB$570.44+0.87%

ZcashZEC$493.36+3.22%

CardanoADA$0.1651+1.54%

HyperliquidHYPE$58.64+1.76%

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UK plans first G7 digital sovereign bond by early 2027Coindesk

Reglas

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S.

Treasury is above 5.00% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.
Treasury is above 5.02% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Treasury is above 5.04% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Treasury is above 5.06% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?

Bonds & TreasuriesOne-Off5d

KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximada

Probabilidad implícita actual

5.05% or above 93%

Líder entre 15 opciones

Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad

Volumen 24h

123,9 €

Liquidez

141,8 €

Baja liquidez

Compra / Venta

89.0% / 93.0%

Spread

4.5%

Spread moderado

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 12 minutos

24 jul 26, 19:3031 jul 26, 19:30

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

5.01% or above

5.03% or above

5.07% or above

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

5.05% or above93%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S.

Treasury is above 5.00% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.
Treasury is above 5.02% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Treasury is above 5.04% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Treasury is above 5.06% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Tendencia de volumen

$141

24 jul3d de datos26 jul

Activos Sensibles al Macro

BitcoinBTC$64,507.44+0.69%

EthereumETH$1,886.50+1.50%

SolanaSOL$74.94+1.38%

Mercados Relacionados

5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?

3,1 mil €

4.51% or above: 27%

KALSHI

2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?

2,9 mil €

4.45% or above: 16%

KALSHI

10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?

2,6 mil €

4.9% or above: 2%

KALSHI

When will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?

263,7 €

2023: 1.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

80 €

4.0%: 100%

POLYMARKET

10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 12/31/2026?

44 €

Sí: 50.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

XRPXRP$1.10+0.97%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.51%

BNBBNB$570.44+0.87%

ZcashZEC$493.36+3.22%

CardanoADA$0.1651+1.54%

HyperliquidHYPE$58.64+1.76%

Noticias Relacionadas

Bitcoin falls under $64K as surging US bond yields boost Fed rate-hike oddsCointelegraph

24/7 financial rails: How BNY plans to eliminate the weekend lag in U.S. TreasuriesCoindesk

Hong Kong to Reopen RMB Bonds with Tender on July 23, 2026Blockchain.News

Polymarket odds price 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 83.75% after TV segmentBlockchain.News

UK picks HSBC Orion platform for first digital sovereign bondCrypto News

UK plans first G7 digital sovereign bond by early 2027Coindesk

Reglas

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S.

Treasury is above 5.00% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.
Treasury is above 5.02% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Treasury is above 5.04% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Treasury is above 5.06% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.