KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 1, 2027 56%Líder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
67 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
10,4 mil €
Liquidez
6,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
22 sept 26, 20:00 UTC1 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
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PolymarketBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketReglas
If the governments of the United States and China have formally announced an agreement to establish, or have implemented, a bilateral notification mechanism for AI incidents that could affect national security after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- A qualifying mechanism must be a government-to-government arrangement for notifying the other government about relevant AI incidents; general AI dialogue, shared principles, safety cooperation, or a general hotline without the incident-notification function does not satisfy this topic.
- The mechanism must be expressly described in an official government announcement, agreement text, or qualifying Source Agency report as covering AI incidents with national-security implications.
Mercados abiertos
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- September 30+0.4pt100%
- October 31+0.1pt100%
- September 24+0.3pt100%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 280,2 mil €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?
- China (5+ times)-19.0pt56%
- Peace47%
- Melania+12.0pt39%
+24 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 103,8 mil €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 12,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 56 mil €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+1.0pt91.9%
- Moonshot-0.8pt5%
- Z.ai1%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 37,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 31,2 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 24?
- 23°C+35.5pt55.2%
- 24°C-0.5pt20%
- 25°C-11.0pt12.4%
+8 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Jan 1, 2027 al 56% a fecha de 23 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline??
- Está previsto que Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline? se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the governments of the United States and China have formally announced an agreement to establish, or have implemented, a bilateral notification mechanism for AI incidents that could affect national security after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.