KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
38.2% 34.3%Líder entre 9 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
38.2% 34.3%Calidad del mercado
70 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
5,4 mil €
Interés abierto
4,6 mil €
Interés abierto medioSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 23 minutos
3 oct 26, 14:01 UTC4 oct 26, 16:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
Reglas de cada resultado
- 38.2%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.1%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 37.9%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 37.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 37.9%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is below 37.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.3%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.3% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.0%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.5%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 38.5%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is above 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.4%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.