KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosSin actividad de trading
Datos del 9 sept 2026, 15:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Above $500 billion 0%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
39 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
26 ago 26, 19:00 UTC5 feb 29, 13:25 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US trade deficit for 2026?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2028 is strictly the named outcome dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau
- The Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis.
- It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods report, the December monthly deficit, or inflation-adjusted trade data.
- Because the agencies generally report the balance as a negative number, the market will use the absolute size of the deficit.
- For example, an annual trade balance of −$800.1 billion constitutes a trade deficit of $800.1 billion.
- Resolution will use the first annual estimate published in the release covering December of 2028.
Mercados abiertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 91 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 569,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 47,4 mil €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 359,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.5%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.5%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,900+1.0pt82%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 79,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+5.0pt86%
- Above 0.2%36%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 18,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,3 mil €
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI in September
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI-U index in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US trade deficit for 2028?
- Kalshi cotiza Above $500 billion al 0% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US trade deficit for 2028?
- Está previsto que US trade deficit for 2028 se resuelva el 5 de febrero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US trade deficit for 2028?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2028 is strictly the named outcome dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.