KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
claude-opus-5-high 61.7%+9.0ptLíder entre 5 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
75 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
35,3 mil €
Liquidez
75,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
3 ago 26, 15:0031 ago 26, 14:00
Tendencias
Reglas
If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If claude-opus-5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
AI
GEMINISeattle vs Tennessee
- Seattle62.5%
- Tennessee37.5%
- Volumen total
- 39,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 38,5 mil €
POLYMARKETIn which month will Anthropic IPO?
- October 2026-0.5pt69%
- September 2026-2.0pt14%
- November 2026-4.0pt5%
+14 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 60,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 33,2 mil €
GEMINIArthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe
- Arthur Fils99%
- Frances Tiafoe1%
- Volumen total
- 32,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 32,9 mil €
POLYMARKETGemini 4.0 released by which date?
- November 30-3.5pt81%
- October 31-14.5pt57%
- September 30-4.0pt19%
+4 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt63.8%
- Grok+5.0pt14.3%
- ChatGPT-1.5pt10.5%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 7,9 M €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba+0.5pt93%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Anthropic IPO by __?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
- ZEC price on August 28
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- BTC price on August 24
- Anthropic market share this week
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Top AI model in August?
- Kalshi cotiza claude-opus-5-high al 62% a fecha de 24 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Top AI model in August?
- Está previsto que Top AI model in August se resuelva el 31 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Top AI model in August?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.