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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. US Politics
  3. Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?
Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?

Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?

4.0% (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsEurope19d
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Ed Miliband
Ed Miliband 19%+4.0%
Líder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

1,7 €

Liquidez

129,5 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

14.0% / 18.0%

Spread

28.6%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 7 minutos

4 may 26, 19:301 jul 26, 3:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Ed Miliband19%

Reglas

If Rachel Reeves leaves as Chancellor before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Rachel Reeves must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
  • Note: A Cabinet reshuffle in which the individual ceases to hold the specified role but remains a member of the Cabinet still qualifies as leaving the role
  • If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
  • Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
  • If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.

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Reglas

If Rachel Reeves leaves as Chancellor before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Rachel Reeves must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
  • Note: A Cabinet reshuffle in which the individual ceases to hold the specified role but remains a member of the Cabinet still qualifies as leaving the role
  • If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
  • Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
  • If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.