KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Tarcísio de Freitas 98%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
11,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
25 abr 26, 14:00 UTC4 oct 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If the named outcome wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Polymarket — São Paulo Governor Election Winner · Tarcísio de Freitas 99%
Mercados abiertos
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de São Paulo Governor winner??
- Kalshi cotiza Tarcísio de Freitas al 98% a fecha de 22 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve São Paulo Governor winner??
- Está previsto que São Paulo Governor winner? se resuelva el 4 de octubre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida São Paulo Governor winner??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado São Paulo Governor winner??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.