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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?
Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?

Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?

One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaRussia / Ukraine6m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 16%
Calidad del mercado

24 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

13,3 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

9.9% / 15.0%

Spread

51.5%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 7 minutos

26 dic 25, 15:001 ene 27, 15:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes16%

Reglas

If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The legislation must establish new material restrictive measures explicitly targeting the Russian Federation by mandating or authorizing: (i) new primary sanctions against Russia or key economic sectors; (ii) new secondary sanctions on foreign third parties facilitating Russian trade or evasion; (iii) the seizure and transfer of blocked or immobilized Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine; and/or (iv) the designation of Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism that triggers automatic sanctions.
  • Routine re-authorizations or technical modifications of existing programs—such as those sometimes included in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) or appropriations bills—are excluded.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.

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Activos en estos temas

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Noticias Relacionadas

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Reglas

If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The legislation must establish new material restrictive measures explicitly targeting the Russian Federation by mandating or authorizing: (i) new primary sanctions against Russia or key economic sectors; (ii) new secondary sanctions on foreign third parties facilitating Russian trade or evasion; (iii) the seizure and transfer of blocked or immobilized Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine; and/or (iv) the designation of Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism that triggers automatic sanctions.
  • Routine re-authorizations or technical modifications of existing programs—such as those sometimes included in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) or appropriations bills—are excluded.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.