KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradadosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 31 oct 2026, 20:37 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
ANC · —
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Precio guardado
ANC 90.5%Líder entre 4 opciones
ANC 90.5%Calidad del mercado
24 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
7,6 €
Interés abierto
102,5 US$
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
— / —
ANCSpread
—
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado12 oct 26, 14:00 UTC4 dic 26, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · ANC
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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PolymarketReglas
If the ANC wins the most council seats in South Africa's 2026 local government elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Electoral Commission of South Africa
- The winner is the party with the most council seats, ward and proportional representation (PR) seats combined, won in the metropolitan and local municipal councils in the 2026 general local government elections (scheduled for November 4, 2026), per the seat results published by the Electoral Commission of South Africa (summed across councils if no national total is published). District council seats, by-elections and any individual ward election postponed from the general polling day are not counted. Independents and other parties are not combined into a party. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher total of PR votes cast nationally in those councils, per the Electoral Commission, will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls that a party won the most council seats; reports that a party won the most votes, a metro or control of councils do not count. See full rules for details.
Reglas de cada resultado
- ANC
- If the ANC wins the most council seats in South Africa's 2026 local government elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- DA
- If the DA wins the most council seats in South Africa's 2026 local government elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- MK Party
- If the MK Party wins the most council seats in South Africa's 2026 local government elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- EFF
- If the EFF wins the most council seats in South Africa's 2026 local government elections, then the market resolves to Yes.