South Carolina Republican Senate runoff margin of victory? (Ralph Norman)
29.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección12m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Ralph Norman, ≥2% 1%-29.0ptLíder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
55 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
101,8 mil €
Liquidez
97,5 mil €
Alta liquidezDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 26 minutos
24 ago 26, 5:1425 ago 27, 14:00
Tendencias
Reglas
If the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate runoff is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ralph Norman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ralph Norman if Ralph Norman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ralph Norman loses.
- If Ralph Norman wins, the margin will be positive; if Ralph Norman loses, the margin will be negative; if Ralph Norman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Ralph Norman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsKALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Darline Graham, 3-6%+82.0pt85.3%
- Darline Graham, 6-9%-12.0pt0.9%
- Darline Graham, 9-12%-8.0pt0.9%
+15 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+7.5pt77%
- October 31+13.5pt60%
- September 30+11.0pt41%
+17 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt18.6%
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.6%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.8%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+4.0pt86%
- Yes-4.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 9,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 862,2 mil €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.2%
- Republican Party14.8%
- Volumen total
- 21,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 476,1 mil €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt21%
- Jon Ossoff15%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Brazil Presidential Election
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de South Carolina Republican Senate runoff margin of victory? (Ralph Norman)?
- Kalshi cotiza Ralph Norman, ≥2% al 1% a fecha de 26 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve South Carolina Republican Senate runoff margin of victory? (Ralph Norman)?
- Está previsto que South Carolina Republican Senate runoff margin of victory? (Ralph Norman) se resuelva el 25 de agosto de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida South Carolina Republican Senate runoff margin of victory? (Ralph Norman)?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate runoff is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.