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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?
New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?

New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?

1.0% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElecciónLatin America11m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Gregg Hull, 12-15%
Gregg Hull, 12-15% 3%+1.0%
Líder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

1,1 €

Liquidez

168,3 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

1.0% / 3.0%

Spread

200.0%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 minutos

2 jun 26, 19:452 jun 27, 14:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Gregg Hull, 12-15%3%

Reglas

If the margin of victory for Gregg Hull in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Gregg Hull minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Gregg Hull minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Gregg Hull wins, or the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Gregg Hull does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,978.79+2.53%EthereumETH$1,661.11+1.78%SolanaSOL$65.42+1.74%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.56%XRPXRP$1.12+0.44%BNBBNB$597.15+1.83%

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Reglas

If the margin of victory for Gregg Hull in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Gregg Hull minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Gregg Hull minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Gregg Hull wins, or the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Gregg Hull does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.