KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Lupita Nyong'o 74%Líder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado
29 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
3,1 €
Baja liquidezSpread
8.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
11 ago 26, 21:53 UTC31 ago 29, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Next Black Panther film: Main protagonist
KalshiWill Black Panther 3 be delayed?
KalshiAt which MTG Pro Tour will I next register a Constructed Magic deck where Black is a base color?
Manifold MarketsAgent 007 (after "No Time To Die") to be Black?
FutuurJames Bond (after "No Time To Die") to be Black?
FutuurWill manifold markets be referenced in a black mirror episode by EOY 2027
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the named outcome performs/ is announced as any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Marvel
- For the purposes of this Contract, the named outcome satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
- Official Announcement: the named outcome is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
- Actual Performance: the named outcome appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as any role as an actor in any official performance, showing, or release of Black Panther 3.
- Additional clarification(s):
- If Black Panther 3 is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but the named outcome was officially announced in any role as an actor, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”
Mercados abiertos
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 342,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 91,2 mil €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 182,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 90,8 mil €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 resultados más
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 264,6 mil €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 84,3 mil €
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Black Panther 3: Cast?
- Kalshi cotiza Lupita Nyong'o al 74% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Black Panther 3: Cast?
- Está previsto que Black Panther 3: Cast se resuelva el 31 de agosto de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Black Panther 3: Cast?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome performs/ is announced as any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, then the market resolves to Yes.