KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 80%
Calidad del mercado
45 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
25,8 €
Liquidez
29,1 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
21.0% / 26.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
23 jul 26, 17:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
If Pennsylvania formally initiates or completes a statewide withdrawal from PJM through binding governmental action directing implementation or coordinated filings by the affected Pennsylvania electric utilities to remove all or substantially all Pennsylvania retail load and associated transmission operations from PJM’s regional operational and wholesale-market footprint after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 248,7 mil €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
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- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-5.0pt49%
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POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.1%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 96,6 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Pennsylvania formally begin leaving PJM in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 80% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Pennsylvania formally begin leaving PJM in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Pennsylvania formally begin leaving PJM in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Pennsylvania formally begin leaving PJM in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Pennsylvania formally initiates or completes a statewide withdrawal from PJM through binding governmental action directing implementation or coordinated filings by the affected Pennsylvania electric utilities to remove all or substantially all Pennsylvania retail load and associated transmission operations from PJM’s regional operational and wholesale-market footprint after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.