How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026?
6.0 pts (24h)Materias primasYearlyIA2m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
$10/MTok or below · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
$10/MTok or below 5%Líder entre 4 opciones
$10/MTok or below 5%Calidad del mercado
44 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
21,6 €
Interés abierto
8,4 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
$10/MTok or belowSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 24 minutos
8 jun 26, 19:00 UTC1 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · $10/MTok or below
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If the Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $10 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Anthropic
- The market resolves based on the price listed of the Output Token Price for Claude Opus 4.8 in 2026 on https://claude.com/pricing#api. The price must be explicitly displayed on the API pricing section of that page. If the product is renamed or succeeded, the closest equivalent product controls. If the page is unavailable on the expiration date, the last available published price will be used. Prices are in USD per MTok. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution — only the standard listed API price applies. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, the last available price for Claude Opus 4.8 in 2026 will be used. If no prior value is available, all strikes shall resolve to “No”.
Reglas de cada resultado
- $10/MTok or below
- If the Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $10 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $20/MTok or below
- If the Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $20 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $15/MTok or below
- If the Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $15 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $5/MTok or below
- If the Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $5 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.