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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Regulación
  3. Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jun 2026?
Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jun 2026?

Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jun 2026?

17.0% (24h)RegulaciónOne-OffUS PoliticsTrade PolicyPolíticaElección19d
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 20%-17.0%
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0,4 €

Liquidez

0,7 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

19.0% / 28.0%

Spread

47.4%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 minutos

1 jun 26, 14:001 jul 26, 3:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes20%

Reglas

If the President announces a new trade deal before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
  • Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
  • Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
  • It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
  • New arrangements include, but are not limited to:

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891,5 €
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$0 / No Acquisition: 81%KalshiKALSHI
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Sí: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

41,8 €
Before 2027: 11%KalshiKALSHI
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

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Activos en estos temas

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Reglas

If the President announces a new trade deal before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
  • Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
  • Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
  • It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
  • New arrangements include, but are not limited to: