KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualXavier Becerra, 3+ pts 90%-1.0%Líder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
28 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
1 €
Liquidez
98 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
85.0% / 99.0%
Spread
16.5%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
4 may 26, 23:453 nov 27, 15:00
Tendencias
Resultado elegido
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts90%
También disponible en Polymarket
California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?
6.0%Cerrados
+8.0%93%
-6.0%6%
+2.8%3%
+5 resultados más
64 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidez
Volumen total26,6 mil €
Volumen 24h1,5 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 gubernatorial primary election in California by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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If Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 gubernatorial primary election in California by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.