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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?
California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

6.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaElección
PolymarketPolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión

Este mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.

Probabilidad implícita actual
Becerra <5%
Becerra <5% 93%+7.5%
Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado

64 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

1,5 mil €

Liquidez

36,7 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venta

2.0% / 10.0%

Spread

400.0%

Spread amplio
Cambio 7d

-15.5%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 minutos

28 may 26, 21:492 jun 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
Becerra <5%
Becerra <5%
+7.5%
93%
Becerra 5–10%
Becerra 5–10%
-6.0%
6%
Hilton Wins
Hilton Wins
+2.5%
3%
Becerra 10%+
Becerra 10%+
+2.3%
3%
Steyer 5%+
Steyer 5%+
-0.1%
0%
Steyer <5%
Steyer <5%
0%

Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.

KalshiTambién disponible en Kalshi

California Governor Primary margin of victory

California Governor Primary margin of victory

1.0%1a
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts
-1.0%90%
Xavier Becerra, 1+ pts
Xavier Becerra, 1+ pts
-2.0%97%
Xavier Becerra, 5+ pts
Xavier Becerra, 5+ pts
8%
28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total295,3 €
Volumen 24h1,9 €
KalshiKALSHI

Reglas

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

Polymarket
  • The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
  • The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.

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Activos en estos temas

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Reglas

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

Polymarket
  • The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
  • The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.