Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
One-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Política2m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Before Jan 1, 2030 · —
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Precio guardado
Before Jan 1, 2030 35%Líder entre 4 opciones
Before Jan 1, 2030 35%Calidad del mercado
32 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
1,8 €
Interés abierto
11 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2030Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 28 minutos
11 ago 26, 1:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Before Jan 1, 2030
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Zohran MamdaniThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersOffice of the Mayor of New York CityCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. An acknowledgment that they will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of a constitutionally or legally mandated term limit does not satisfy the Payout Criterion. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Before Jan 1, 2030
- If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.