KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
49° to 50° 39.6%Líder entre 6 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
49° to 50° 39.6%Calidad del mercado
56 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,1 mil €
Interés abierto
925 €
Interés abierto bajoSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
4 oct 26, 14:00 UTC6 oct 26, 6:00 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 5m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 4, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Chicago on Oct 4, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Chicago on Oct 5, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Chicago on October 5?
PolymarketWill the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) be below 50 F on October 5, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) be below 49 F on October 5, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExReglas
If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 5, 2026, is between 49-50° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Reglas de cada resultado
- 49° to 50°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 5, 2026, is between 49-50° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 51° or above
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 5, 2026, is greater than 50° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 47° to 48°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 5, 2026, is between 47-48° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 45° to 46°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 5, 2026, is between 45-46° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 43° to 44°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 5, 2026, is between 43-44° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 42° or below
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 5, 2026, is less than 43° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Polymarket — Lowest temperature in Chicago on October 6? · 39°F or below 50%