KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
83° to 84° 90.7%+74.0ptLíder entre 6 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
83° to 84° 90.7%+74.0ptCalidad del mercado
83 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
99,1 mil €
Interés abierto
58,1 mil €
Interés abierto altoSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
3 oct 26, 14:00 UTC5 oct 26, 8:00 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 5m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRain in San Francisco in Oct 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in San Francisco on October 5?
PolymarketHighest temperature in San Francisco on October 6?
PolymarketReglas
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 4, 2026, is between 83-84° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Reglas de cada resultado
- 83° to 84°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 4, 2026, is between 83-84° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 85° to 86°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 4, 2026, is between 85-86° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 82° or below
- If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 4, 2026, is less than 83° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 91° or above
- If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 4, 2026, is greater than 90° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 89° to 90°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 4, 2026, is between 89-90° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 87° to 88°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 4, 2026, is between 87-88° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.