KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
0 97.1%Líder entre 5 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
72 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
114,4 €
Liquidez
87,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.8 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
23 ene 26, 21:00 UTC3 nov 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will any Senate Democrat lose a primary in 2026?
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ForecastExReglas
If the number of Democratic Senate members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 03, 2026 is exactly 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Federal RegisterThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are currently in, as of primary day for the seat they're contesting in in 2026; be running for the nomination of a position whose election day is on the same date as most Congressional elections in 2026, typically an early Tuesday of November; and lose the Democratic primary for that election to another candidate.
- In jurisdictions with non-partisan or "top-two" primary systems, an incumbent is not considered to have lost if they advance to the General Election ballot, regardless of their placement relative to other advancing candidates.
- For the purposes of determining eligibility, a candidate is considered to be running for the "office they currently hold" if they are seeking re-election to the same legislative body (House or Senate), regardless of changes to their specific district number or geographic constituency.
- In the event that primaries for an unexpired term (Special Election) and the next full term (General Election) are held concurrently, the Payout Criterion applies exclusively to the results of the primary for the next full term.
- If the number of Democratic Senate members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 03, 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza 0 al 97% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026??
- Está previsto que How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026? se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the number of Democratic Senate members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 03, 2026 is exactly 0, then the market resolves to Yes.