KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 84%
Calidad del mercado
46 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
177,1 €
Liquidez
177,1 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
10.0% / 16.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
1 sept 26, 14:00 UTC1 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will any member of Congress be expelled in 2026?
KalshiWill another member of the U.S Congress be expelled before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?
KalshiWhich member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?
KalshiWill a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?
Manifold MarketsWill Ilhan Omar be a Member of Congress at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If any member of Congress resigns or is expelled as any member of Congress in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- any member of Congress must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Sep 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 84% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Sep 2026??
- Está previsto que Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Sep 2026? se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Sep 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If any member of Congress resigns or is expelled as any member of Congress in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.