KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualAt least 1 99%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
62 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,2 mil €
Liquidez
16,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
17.0% / 20.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 minutos
14 jul 26, 19:301 ago 26, 3:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
At least 817%
Tendencia de volumen
$2.5k2 jul21d de datos28 jul
Mercados Relacionados
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
156,4 mil €December 31: 85%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
141,7 mil €Sí: 22%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
90,9 mil €August 31: 51%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
1,4 mil €$0 / No Acquisition: 82%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1,1 mil €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill any US state secede before 2050?
659,4 €Sí: 21.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.NewsReglas
If above 0 federal judges are confirmed in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The positions that are eligible for inclusion are:
- Supreme Court justices Court of Federal Claims judges U.S.
- Court of Appeals judges U.S.
- District Court (including territorial courts) judges
- Judges for the following courts are NOT included: