How many Israeli elections until a government forms?
38.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffAjedrezElecciónDeportes4m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
1 · —
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Precio guardado
1 47%Líder entre 5 opciones
1 47%Calidad del mercado
32 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
134,1 €
Interés abierto
2,1 mil US$
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
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1Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 39 minutos
28 ago 26, 22:00 UTC9 mar 27, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · 1
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PolymarketReglas
If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 1 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Count nationwide Knesset elections actually held, beginning with the next election after issuance. Each election counts once, including repeat elections held before a new government is formed. Scheduled or cancelled elections, local elections, and separate voting phases of the same election do not count separately. A new government is formed when the Knesset expresses confidence in it. The count stops at the first such vote after the first counted election, or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first. A coalition agreement, presidential assignment, or continuation of the outgoing government does not end the count. If no new government has formed by the cutoff, count elections held through the cutoff. If no election is held, all listed markets resolve No. Use the Central Elections Committee’s official election records and the Knesset’s official government-formation record.
Reglas de cada resultado
- 1
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 1 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 2 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 3 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 4 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is at least 5 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.