KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: At least 40% (98%)
Resuelto: 9 oct 2026, 5:09
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 9 oct 2026, 5:00 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
At least 45%99%
At least 40%64%
At least 45%Perdida
At least 40%Ganada
At least 30%Perdida
At least 35%Perdida
At least 55%Perdida
At least 50%Perdida
At least 20%Perdida
At least 65%Perdida
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If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Labour Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:London Borough of Camden
- The percentage is (votes received by the party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, use certified/official results; qualifying unofficial results may be used only under that provision.
- Write-in votes in the result are included.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds occur, use the specified round or first round if none is specified.