KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: At least 25% (98%)
Resuelto: 9 oct 2026, 5:08
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 9 oct 2026, 5:00 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
At least 30%99%
At least 25%87%
At least 5%0%
At least 10%0%
At least 40%10%
At least 20%99%
At least 30%Perdida
At least 20%Perdida
At least 25%Ganada
At least 15%Perdida
At least 40%Perdida
At least 35%Perdida
At least 5%Perdida
At least 10%Perdida
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
If Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Reglas archivadas a nivel de evento. Los términos exactos de cada resultado ya no están disponibles.
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:London Borough of Camden
- The percentage is (votes received by the party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, use certified/official results; qualifying unofficial results may be used only under that provision.
- Write-in votes in the result are included.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds occur, use the specified round or first round if none is specified.
