KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual80° to 81° 38.9%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
75 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
30,3 mil €
Liquidez
21,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
40.0% / 41.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 38 minutos
28 jul 26, 14:0030 jul 26, 4:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
80° to 81°42%
Comparar plataformas· 80° to 81°
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general84% de coincidencia · auto | Alta | 40% | — | 15,9 mil € | 135,2 mil € | hace 18 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta páginaMás activa | Alta | 42% | — | 30,3 mil € | 21,4 mil € | hace 38 minutos | |
 Gemini93% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 41% | — | 422,2 € | 0 € | hace 38 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Gemini
Highest temperature in NYC on July 29, 2026?
21h
36.8%
30%
17.3%
+3 resultados más
44 • Baja calidadSpread moderadoBaja liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total422,2 €
Volumen 24h422,2 €
GEMINITambién disponible en Polymarket
Highest temperature in NYC on July 29?
6.5 pts5h
+18.0pt37%
+16.0pt25.9%
-0.5pt25%
+8 resultados más
77 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total21,9 mil €
Volumen 24h15,9 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 76°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 76-77°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$34.5k28 jul2d de datos29 jul
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FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 78 F on July 28, 2026?
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FORECASTEXActivos en estos temas
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If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 76°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 76-77°, then the market resolves to Yes.