KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 31 oct 2026, 0:31 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
Before Nov 3, 2026 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Precio guardado
Before Nov 3, 2026 1%Líder entre 3 opciones
Before Nov 3, 2026 1%Calidad del mercado
31 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
430,8 €
Interés abierto
21,3 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
Before Nov 3, 2026Spread
—
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado17 abr 26, 21:00 UTC3 nov 26, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdida
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdida
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Before Nov 3, 2026
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Ruben Gallego to leave the US Senate by end of 2026.
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman complete his term as Senator from Pennsylvania?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiReglas
If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Ruben GallegoThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersUnited States SenateCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Before Nov 3, 2026
- If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Limitless — Ruben Gallego out as Senator? · Before Oct 1, 2026 50%
