KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Raphaël Glucksmann 57.5%Líder entre 7 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
39 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
7,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
10 jul 26, 14:00 UTC1 oct 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
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KalshiReglas
If the named outcome wins the primary to select the French pôle socialiste’s candidate for the 2027 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Parti socialiste
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de French socialist bloc presidential primary winner??
- Kalshi cotiza Raphaël Glucksmann al 58% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve French socialist bloc presidential primary winner??
- Está previsto que French socialist bloc presidential primary winner? se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida French socialist bloc presidential primary winner??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome wins the primary to select the French pôle socialiste’s candidate for the 2027 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.