Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
1.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffElección1a
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
New Hampshire · —
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Precio guardado
New Hampshire 89%Líder entre 4 opciones
New Hampshire 89%Calidad del mercado
66 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
178,5 €
Interés abierto
40,5 mil US$
Interés abierto altoCompra / Venta
— / —
New HampshireSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
27 jul 26, 17:07 UTC1 abr 28, 3:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · New Hampshire
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which state will host the first Democratic presidential primary in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina?
KalshiWho will win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary?
Manifold MarketsConditional on this candidate winning the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, will they win the general election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire?
PredictItReglas
If New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- A contest counts regardless of whether the Democratic National Committee sanctions, recognizes, or gives delegate effect to it. If multiple states vote on the same day, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of tied states. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Reglas de cada resultado
- New Hampshire
- If New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iowa
- If Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- South Carolina
- If South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nevada
- If Nevada holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
