Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
1.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffElección1a
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
New Hampshire 84.6%+1.0ptLíder entre 4 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
66 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
24,2 €
Liquidez
36 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
27 jul 26, 17:07 UTC1 abr 28, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
If the named outcome holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- A contest counts regardless of whether the Democratic National Committee sanctions, recognizes, or gives delegate effect to it.
- If multiple states vote on the same day, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of tied states.
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary??
- Kalshi cotiza New Hampshire al 85% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary??
- Está previsto que Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary? se resuelva el 1 de abril de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.