KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaEste mercado se resolvió: Hong Wang (100%)
Resuelto: 23 jul 2026, 18:08
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 23 jul 2026, 17:20 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Procedencia de la liquidación
- Resultado vigente
- Hong Wang
- Registrado
- 27 jul 2026, 7:00
- Observaciones
- 1
- Revisiones
- 0
- Método
- resolution_watch
Probabilidad implícita actualJacob Tsimerman 100%+3.9ptLíder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
13,8 mil €
Liquidez
69 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
99.2% / 100.0%
Spread
0.8 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 días
Desactualizado27 mar 25, 14:0031 dic 26, 15:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yu Deng99%
Jacob Tsimerman100%
Jack Thorne0%
Alexander Efimov0%
Will Sawin0%
Aleksandr Logunov0%
Sam Raskin0%
John Pardon100%
99%
100%
0%
0%
100%
0%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Jacob Tsimerman
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 100% | — | 13,8 mil € | 69 mil € | hace 4 días | |
 PolymarketMás activa65% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 100% | — | 109,9 mil € | 0 € | hace 3 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
3.4 ptsCerrados
+3.4pt100%
+2.4pt100%
+3.1pt100%
+8 resultados más
48 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidez
Volumen total772,4 mil €
Volumen 24h109,9 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Hong Wang wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jacob Tsimerman wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Yu Deng wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jack Thorne wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If John Pardon wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Sam Raskin wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.8k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? — Yestianjiyuyunzhiluhace 4 d
POLYMARKETWill Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? — Yestianjiyuyunzhiluhace 4 d$1.1k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? — YesSweetChariothace 4 d
POLYMARKETWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? — YesSweetChariothace 4 dTendencia de volumen
$15.8k2 jul22d de datos23 jul
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If Hong Wang wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jacob Tsimerman wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Yu Deng wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jack Thorne wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If John Pardon wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Sam Raskin wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.