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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Ciencia
  3. When will El Niño conditions be declared present?
When will El Niño conditions be declared present?

When will El Niño conditions be declared present?

7.0% (24h)One-OffCienciaWeather1m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026 70%+7.0%
Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

1,2 €

Liquidez

46,8 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

64.0% / 71.0%

Spread

10.9%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 6 minutos

2 jun 26, 14:0014 jul 26, 3:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Before Jul 1, 202670%

Reglas

If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,710.65+1.66%EthereumETH$1,653.76+0.84%SolanaSOL$64.97+0.68%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.74%XRPXRP$1.11-0.27%BNBBNB$597.26+1.49%

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Reglas

If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.