Will Trump declare an election emergency?

One-OffPolítica US Politics Elección1m

KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximada

Probabilidad implícita actual

Before Nov 4, 2026 37%+2.0pt

Líder entre 3 opciones

Calidad del mercado

71 / 100

Calidad media

Volumen 24h

3,6 mil €

Liquidez

66,9 mil €

Alta liquidez

Compra / Venta

12.0% / 13.0%

Spread

1.0 pt

Spread estrecho

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 26 minutos

5 mar 26, 15:001 sept 26, 3:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

Before Sep 1, 202613%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Tendencia de volumen

$4.1k

2 jul26d de datos27 jul

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Reglas

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.