KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Alibaba 81.9%-1.0ptLíder entre 9 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
63 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2 mil €
Liquidez
19,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
3 ago 26, 15:3031 ago 26, 14:00
Tendencias
Reglas
If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Mercados abiertos
China
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volumen total
- 34,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 164,4 mil €
POLYMARKETWhere will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall?
- China+7.3pt85.2%
- Japan-21.6pt10.4%
- South Korea-1.0pt4.3%
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
- 28°C+54.0pt61.9%
- 29°C+19.5pt24.7%
- 30°C or higher+11.1pt12.4%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba+0.7pt96%
- Z.ai-0.4pt3%
- Bytedance+0.3pt1%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.3pt95%
- Yes-0.3pt5%
- Volumen total
- 10,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 23,1 mil €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt97%
- October 31-0.5pt96%
- September 30+0.5pt94%
+1 resultados más
- Highest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Top Chinese AI Company this month?
- Kalshi cotiza Alibaba al 82% a fecha de 26 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Top Chinese AI Company this month?
- Está previsto que Top Chinese AI Company this month se resuelva el 31 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Top Chinese AI Company this month?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.