KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Hike 1-25bps 52.8%Líder entre 5 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
20 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,6 mil €
Baja liquidezDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
22 jul 26, 20:45 UTC23 sept 26, 12:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
KalshiEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
KalshiCzech National Bank rate decision in September
KalshiReserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in September?
Manifold MarketsUS Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) Up or Down on September 9?
PolymarketReglas
If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of the named outcome at its September Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
Central BanksPOLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 435,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 40,4 mil €
KALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+0.5pt97%
- 50+ bps increase+0.7pt2%
- No change-1.3pt1%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change-1.0pt88.1%
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt11.9%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate94%
- Hike 25bps+28.0pt33%
- Cut 50bps2%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 41,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt94.2%
- Hike more than 25bps+1.0pt1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September?
- Kalshi cotiza Hike 1-25bps al 53% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September?
- Está previsto que South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September se resuelva el 23 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of the named outcome at its September Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.