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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Central Banks
  3. South African Reserve Bank rate decision in July
South African Reserve Bank rate decision in July

South African Reserve Bank rate decision in July

1.0% (24h)One-OffCentral BanksMacro & Economy1m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Cut 1-25bps
Cut 1-25bps 3%+1.0%
Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0,7 €

Liquidez

15,6 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

1.0% / 3.0%

Spread

200.0%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 8 minutos

2 jun 26, 17:0023 jul 26, 12:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
Hike more than 25bps
Hike more than 25bps
0%

Resultado elegido

Cut 1-25bps3%

PolymarketTambién disponible en Polymarket

South African Reserve Bank decision in July?

South African Reserve Bank decision in July?

1m
25 bps hike
25 bps hike
+19.0%65%
50+ bps hike
50+ bps hike
43%
50+ bps cut
50+ bps cut
35%

+2 resultados más

28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total1,2 mil €
Volumen 24h74,8 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Reglas

If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at the July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
  • For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
  • If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
  • Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
  • The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).

Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.

Mercados Relacionados

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

653,6 €
No Change: 99%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bank of Brazil decision in August?

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

210,3 €
No Change: 80%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
European Central Bank rate decision in June

European Central Bank rate decision in June

165,7 €
Cut 1-25bps: 1%KalshiKALSHI
Bank of England rate decision in June

Bank of England rate decision in June

0,5 €
Maintain current rate: 94%KalshiKALSHI
Lisa Cook departure announced?

Lisa Cook departure announced?

0,1 €
Before Jan 2027: 15%KalshiKALSHI

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,634.59+2.05%EthereumETH$1,649.42+1.21%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.46%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.56%XRPXRP$1.12+0.17%BNBBNB$594.88+1.46%

Noticias Relacionadas

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsBitcoin may act as a ‘canary in the coal mine’ as risk-off pressure spreads: BitwiseCointelegraphCan the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto NewsBitcoin price $60K support not yet safe as more macro headwinds stack up CointelegraphU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindesk

Reglas

If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at the July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
  • For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
  • If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
  • Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
  • The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).