KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaEste mercado se resolvió: Maintain current rate (1%)
Resuelto: 23 jul 2026, 13:51
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Procedencia de la liquidación
- Resultado vigente
- Maintain current rate
- Registrado
- 27 jul 2026, 5:43
- Observaciones
- 1
- Revisiones
- 0
- Método
- resolution_watch
Probabilidad implícita actualHike 1-25bps 90.5%+3.0ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
31 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
2,2 mil €
Liquidez
7,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
- / 7.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 días
Desactualizado2 jun 26, 17:0023 jul 26, 12:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
Hike 1-25bps95%
Maintain current rate1%
0.9%
4.8%
90.5%
0.9%
2.9%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Hike 1-25bps
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 95% | — | 2,2 mil € | 7,1 mil € | hace 4 días | |
 PolymarketMás activa71% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 100% | — | 12,6 mil € | 0 € | hace 3 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
South African Reserve Bank decision in July?
93.5 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
No Change (100%)
+99.4pt100%
-1.5pt0%
-0.3pt0%
+2 resultados más
27 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidez
Volumen total38,1 mil €
Volumen 24h12,6 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at the July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$2.6k2 jul22d de datos23 jul
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If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at the July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).